Technical bias Very Bearish
Daily Chart Trend (D1, 24-indicator composite)Bearish3 bullish / 15 bearish indicators
4H Trend (EMA21/50 stack)Bearishprice 4225.50 < ema21 4228.92 < ema50 4283.26 (downtrend)
Seasonality (this month)NeutralSeptember averages +0.26% historically
Show all 24 indicator votes
EMA9/21ema9=4291.74 ema21=4355.56
SMA20/50sma20=4374.31 sma50=4360.82
price/EMA50close=4179.70 ema50=4366.95
price/HMA21close=4179.70 hma21=4279.64
price/VWMA20close=4179.70 vwma20=4372.76
RSI14rsi=34.2
Stochastic%K=10.9 %D=13.5
MACDhist=-29.561 prev=-26.979
Bulls/Bearsbulls=-104.04 bears=-176.94
ADXadx=17.9 +DI=11.6 -DI=25.0
Ichimokuclose=4179.70 cloud=[4322.90,4427.32] tenkan=4291.45 kijun=4449.05
CCI20cci=-220.3
Bollingerclose=4179.70 bands=[4195.62,4553.00]
Keltnerclose=4179.70 bands=[4153.76,4552.19]
OBVobv=520173 sma20=667173
CMF20cmf=0.082
A/Dad=1616646 sma20=1647579
Candlenone/doji
MFI14mfi=28.4
Pivotclose=4179.70 pivot=4209.03 r1=4274.97 s1=4102.47
SMC Structureinside range [4143.10, 4439.80], trend=-1
SMC FVGnearest unfilled FVG above at (np.float64(4218.10009765625), np.float64(4289.2001953125)) (38.40 away) -> resistance
SMC OrderBlockprice not inside any recent order block
SMC Premium/Discountprice at 12% of range [4143.10,4439.80] -- discount zone
D1 and 4H can (and currently do) disagree -- that's not an error, it's two
real timeframes reading differently. D1 is a slower trend-following read (currently below its
own 50-EMA/cloud after a pullback); the composite's own SMC-based votes (FVG, Order Block,
Premium/Discount) already lean bullish on a shorter-term support read, consistent with 4H.
Neither overrides the score above -- 4H is shown for context, same as EdgeFinder's blended
4H/Daily read, not folded into the technical score.
Institutional activity (COT open interest) Neutral
COT - Net PositioningBullish90.03% long / 9.97% short (crowded long)
COT - Latest Buys/SellsBearishfunds cut 4,485 net (-1.95%) this week
Open Interest412,800 contractsreport 2026-09-22
Real CFTC Commitment-of-Traders data (free, weekly). Matches EdgeFinder's COT figures exactly.
Crowd sentiment / options (GLD proxy)
Net Options Flow (today) · YahooBullish174,083 calls / 104,276 puts · net +69,807 (62.5% calls) · all expirations
5-Day Average Flow · YahooBullishavg net +86,312 over last 5 day(s) of history
Open Interest · Yahoo5,760 calls / 5,319 putsGLD, all expirations
Net Options Flow (today) · BarchartBullish646,083 calls / 102,814 puts · net +543,269 · P/C ratio 0.16 · current session
Open Interest · Barchart4,275,988 calls / 2,007,829 putsGLD, current session
Call Wall (resistance)$3770 OI · exp 2026-10-05 · below spot $382.89
Put Wall (support)$2850 OI · exp 2026-10-05 · below spot $382.89
Three independent free reads, all GLD ETF options (the most-traded gold ETF, used as a proxy since XAUUSD/futures options have no free feed): Yahoo Finance sums every listed expiration; Barchart reports its own "current session" total -- their numbers won't match exactly, that's expected, not a bug (Barchart feed showing last successful fetch, network hiccup). Put/Call Walls are the strikes with the heaviest open interest at the nearest non-0DTE expiration -- read informally as support/resistance, not a guarantee. Yahoo's history (60 day(s) so far) builds up locally day by day since none of these sources offer free historical backfill. Informational only: shown live, but NOT yet folded into the total score above, since none has been backtested for predictive value the way the technical and COT blocks have.
AAII investor sentiment (equities, contrarian)
AAII Bull/Bear (contrarian gold lean)Bullish32.7% bullish / 19.2% neutral / 48.1% bearish · week ending 9/23/2026 · crowded bearish (equities)
Free weekly US retail-investor equity sentiment survey (aaii.com), not gold-specific. Used here only as a contrarian risk-on/risk-off lean: heavy equity fear (bears >> bulls) suggests risk-off/haven flows that can favor gold; heavy equity bullishness suggests risk-on, less haven demand. A directional lean, not a backtested rule -- informational only, not in the total score.
Economic / fundamentals Bearish
InflationNeutral
CPI (inflation)Neutral334.13 · flat (+0.0% vs 3 periods ago) -> neutral gold
PPI (producer prices)Bearish287.93 · falling (-0.8% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Core PCEBullish130.66 · rising (+0.8% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
JobsVery Bearish
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish159075.0 · rising (+0.1% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Unemployment RateBearish4.1 · falling (-4.7% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish197000.0 · falling (-4.8% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
GrowthVery Bearish
Industrial ProductionBearish103.07 · rising (+0.4% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Real GDPBearish24269.61 · rising (+1.0% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Retail SalesBearish737763.0 · rising (+0.9% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Consumer Sentiment (UMich)Bearish51.7 · rising (+15.4% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Manufacturing Activity (Philly Fed, PMI proxy)Bearish37.8 · expansion (index=+37.8) -> bearish gold
RatesBearish
2-Year Treasury YieldBearish4.92 · rising (+1.4% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Fed Funds RateNeutral3.63 · flat (+0.0% vs 3 periods ago) -> neutral gold
Live FRED data (13 series). Economic-TREND bias only (rising/falling actuals). The "surprise vs consensus forecast" column is not shown -- FRED has actuals, not consensus; a true surprise feed is paid.