Technical bias Neutral
Daily Chart Trend (D1, 24-indicator composite)Bearish8 bullish / 9 bearish indicators
4H Trend (EMA21/50 stack)Neutralprice 4107.70, ema21 4108.68, ema50 4091.29 (mixed/no clean stack)
Seasonality (this month)BullishAugust averages +0.94% historically
Show all 24 indicator votes
EMA9/21ema9=4063.91 ema21=4084.98
SMA20/50sma20=4070.36 sma50=4210.07
price/EMA50close=4100.10 ema50=4209.56
price/HMA21close=4100.10 hma21=4059.74
price/VWMA20close=4100.10 vwma20=4046.06
RSI14rsi=49.4
Stochastic%K=72.3 %D=49.4
MACDhist=15.096 prev=12.267
Bulls/Bearsbulls=52.22 bears=-37.78
ADXadx=27.5 +DI=29.5 -DI=30.8
Ichimokuclose=4100.10 cloud=[4263.55,4455.35] tenkan=4075.90 kijun=4081.10
CCI20cci=23.4
Bollingerclose=4100.10 bands=[3968.38,4172.34]
Keltnerclose=4100.10 bands=[3953.12,4210.48]
OBVobv=246548 sma20=311612
CMF20cmf=0.880
A/Dad=216547 sma20=126225
Candlenone/doji
MFI14mfi=17.2
Pivotclose=4100.10 pivot=4029.10 r1=4040.30 s1=4023.50
SMC Structureinside range [4017.90, 4152.10], trend=-1
SMC FVGnearest unfilled FVG above at (np.float64(4216.39990234375), np.float64(4296.0)) (116.30 away) -> resistance
SMC OrderBlockprice not inside any recent order block
SMC Premium/Discountprice at 61% of range [4017.90,4152.10] -- premium zone
D1 and 4H can (and currently do) disagree -- that's not an error, it's two
real timeframes reading differently. D1 is a slower trend-following read (currently below its
own 50-EMA/cloud after a pullback); the composite's own SMC-based votes (FVG, Order Block,
Premium/Discount) already lean bullish on a shorter-term support read, consistent with 4H.
Neither overrides the score above -- 4H is shown for context, same as EdgeFinder's blended
4H/Daily read, not folded into the technical score.
Institutional activity (COT open interest) Neutral
COT - Net PositioningBullish85.4% long / 14.6% short (crowded long)
COT - Latest Buys/SellsBearishfunds cut 1,840 net (-1.00%) this week
Open Interest384,603 contractsreport 2026-07-28
Real CFTC Commitment-of-Traders data (free, weekly). Matches EdgeFinder's COT figures exactly.
Crowd sentiment / options (GLD proxy)
Net Options Flow (today) · YahooBullish95,570 calls / 95,568 puts · net +2 (50.0% calls) · all expirations
5-Day Average Flow · YahooBullishavg net +2 over last 1 day(s) of history
Open Interest · Yahoo2,561,257 calls / 1,224,359 putsGLD, all expirations
Net Options Flow (today) · BarchartBearish85,812 calls / 90,841 puts · net -5,029 · P/C ratio 1.06 · current session
Open Interest · Barchart2,570,818 calls / 1,228,487 putsGLD, current session
Call Wall (resistance)$4003,754 OI · exp 2026-08-07 · above spot $371.54
Put Wall (support)$3403,667 OI · exp 2026-08-07 · below spot $371.54
Three independent free reads, all GLD ETF options (the most-traded gold ETF, used as a proxy since XAUUSD/futures options have no free feed): Yahoo Finance sums every listed expiration; Barchart reports its own "current session" total -- their numbers won't match exactly, that's expected, not a bug. Put/Call Walls are the strikes with the heaviest open interest at the nearest non-0DTE expiration -- read informally as support/resistance, not a guarantee. Yahoo's history (1 day(s) so far) builds up locally day by day since none of these sources offer free historical backfill. Informational only: shown live, but NOT yet folded into the total score above, since none has been backtested for predictive value the way the technical and COT blocks have.
AAII investor sentiment (equities, contrarian)
AAII Bull/Bear (contrarian gold lean)Bullish31.0% bullish / 26.9% neutral / 42.1% bearish · week ending 7/29/2026 · balanced
Free weekly US retail-investor equity sentiment survey (aaii.com), not gold-specific. Used here only as a contrarian risk-on/risk-off lean: heavy equity fear (bears >> bulls) suggests risk-off/haven flows that can favor gold; heavy equity bullishness suggests risk-on, less haven demand. A directional lean, not a backtested rule -- informational only, not in the total score.
Economic / fundamentals Bearish
InflationVery Bullish
CPI (inflation)Bullish332.57 · rising (+0.7% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
PPI (producer prices)Bullish286.83 · rising (+3.9% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
Core PCEBullish130.27 · rising (+0.7% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
JobsVery Bearish
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish158984.0 · rising (+0.2% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Unemployment RateBearish4.2 · falling (-2.3% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish197000.0 · falling (-9.2% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
GrowthVery Bearish
Industrial ProductionBearish102.64 · rising (+1.0% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Real GDPBearish24270.6 · rising (+1.0% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Retail SalesBearish768553.0 · rising (+1.9% vs 3 periods ago) -> bearish gold
Consumer Sentiment (UMich)Bullish49.5 · falling (-7.1% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
Manufacturing Activity (Philly Fed, PMI proxy)Bearish41.4 · expansion (index=+41.4) -> bearish gold
RatesVery Bullish
2-Year Treasury YieldBullish4.23 · falling (-1.9% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
Fed Funds RateBullish3.63 · falling (-0.3% vs 3 periods ago) -> bullish gold
Live FRED data (13 series). Economic-TREND bias only (rising/falling actuals). The "surprise vs consensus forecast" column is not shown -- FRED has actuals, not consensus; a true surprise feed is paid.